An imprisoned Russian opposition figure who has dual British nationality has been transferred to a maximum security prison in Siberia and placed in a tiny "punishment cell", his lawyer has said.Overnight, we've brought you reports of an air raid on the southern city of Odesa - where one civilian has been injured and infrastructure damaged - we'll bring you more on that as we get it.Īs the war in Ukraine enters its 20th month, here's the latest from the conflict in Ukraine from the last 24 hours: Volodymyr Zelenskyy wrapped up a busy stint in North America over the weekend, hailing his time there as "successful", as he secured yet another massive US aid package and a near-£400m increase in funding commitment from Canada. Hello and welcome back to our coverage of the war in Ukraine - in a blog that has now been running for 19 months. It says Russia's forces in Zaporizhzhia are spread thin, particularly in the western portion of the region - with the hope that Ukraine will be able to advance more rapidly there.Įlsewhere, Ukraine’s operations in Bakhmut have "kept Russian forces committed to eastern Ukraine" and away from the southern front - helping to deny Moscow "the creation of a strategic reserve" in the area. The ISW says this hypothesis "is invalid" if any of those three assumptions are wrong - but at the time of writing they're believed to be correct. Russian defensive positions behind the current battle area are not as heavily mined or well prepared as the fortifications that Ukrainian forces have breached.Ukrainian forces retain "enough combat power" to continue pushing after "exhausting" Russian armies.Russian forces do not have the necessary reserves or combat power to maintain Russian defences in western Zaporizhzhia Oblast.The US-based thinktank said a "significant Ukrainian success will be more likely" if: The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) says there are three assumptions that need to hold in order for Ukraine to achieve a "significant breakthrough".
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